Today on Morning Joe (what can I say old habits die hard...I'll never give up on Joe), the new Esquire poll was discussed. White men and women are the angriest people in this country - which is probably hysterical to everyone else in this country that doesn't fall into those two categories. (To read more about this survey click here.) I recently came upon a National Journal article, and coupled with this survey, I've learned a lot about what seems to be the key to Donald Trump's success.
The National Journal posted an article by John B Judis discussing the "Return of the Middle American Radical" ... and I found some slight comfort in realizing that perhaps this crazy year is just somehow a normal part of our political ebb and flow. It's a long article, but I highly suggest you read it here. If not you can just read my synopsis (and my opinions).
In 1971 Donald Warren conducted a survey finding that about a quarter of the electorate fell into a category he called the "Middle American Radical" that, "was neither conventionally liberal nor conventionally conservative, but instead revolved around an intense conviction that the middle class was under siege from above and below" (National Journal).
This group of people were predominantly not college educated and held blue collar or low level white collar positions. For the most part, these people felt as though the government favored the rich and poor simultaneously, while leaving them out. They typically supported government endeavors like medicare, price controls, and wage regulation (oddly enough they also distrusted the government). On the other hand, they also held rather conservative views on race and poverty. Over the last decades, this sector has supported candidates like George Wallace, Ross Perot, and Pat Buchannon. This summer these people, previously unorganized and (slightly) silenced, found their leader, and they have bubbled to the surface once again.
Surprisingly enough, most of their issues have stayed in tact over the decades. Illegal immigration is the new hot button, replacing racist ideas of the 60s, albeit, it's now just another form of racism. Trump's bombastic personality attracts these 'angry' radicals, and his showmanship does feed their need for a forceful candidate to come to their aid. It seems that unlike candidates like Bernie Sanders, who is garnering support based on his [crazy stupid unsustainable] policies, Trump gains support in part by personality, part from his policy, but mostly from his overall messaging. Trump is a populist, painting himself as a knight on a white horse coming in to save the day. He's going to save America from free trade agreements, a weak economy, China, and illegal immigrants. He isn't necessarily the new wave of Republicanism, instead he's the result of the populist movement that I believe is pulling Republicans (approximately 30-35%) to the dark side. And, slowly, Democrats are coming too. If Trump's appeal only stays with this 'radical' middle America, he's looking at only about 20% of the electorate on a national scale [breathe a sigh of relief]. However, we've spent months waiting for this fire to subside and it hasn't. I have said for the last 16 years, that America is in need of a strong moderate leader (ahem, Mitt) that is able to govern from the center and cater to both sides. It was said that Clinton's move to the center in 1994 helped to eliminate the middle class radicals -- only to have them rear their heads again after 8 years of excruciating conservatism and similar years of liberalism.
Somehow in the midst of our anger, we have forgotten that our nation was not created on foundation of consensus, but one of compromise. Political parties have become hell bent on forcing its own will without any consideration for the other side. The last 16 years of our history have been wrought with bitter fights and numerous gridlocked shutdowns. The very quality that distinguishes America from the rest of the world is its ability to provide refuge for all, despite conflicting cultural, political, and religous viewpoints. That in spite of all of the very things that tear nations apart around the world, Americans are able to join together to create a national government of and by the people. The Middle American Radicals seem to have their knight in shining armor, but for the rest of us -- where is ours? (ahem, Mitt.)
Such a well written post! I've literally felt anxiety over the state of our country and Donald Trump's popularity. We definitely do need someone to appeal to both sides and bring this country together again...but sadly, that doesn't look like it's going to happen this election season.
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